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Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (B) Case Solution

Solution Id Length Case Author Case Publisher
595 564 Words (3 Pages) Laura Alfaro, Rafael Di Tella, Ingrid Vogel Harvard Business School : 705032
This solution includes: A Word File A Word File

There were various reasons behind the emergence of the capital controls in Chile. Due to the large capital inflows, Chilean government wanted to control the key indicators of the monetary and economic policy. The encaje was designed to moderate the appreciation in the Chilean peso. Another objective of encaje was to regulate the cash inflows/outflows of banks and institutional investors. This would allow the moderation of short-term liabilities. Additionally, the goal of capital controls was also designed to enhance the capacity of central bank to control monetary policy and most importantly the local interest rates and the inflation.

Following questions are answered in this case study solution:

  1. Why did Chile institute capital controls in 1991? Did the controls meet their objectives? What was the role of other policies in Chile's economic success in the 1990s?

  2. What were the arguments for and against getting rid of the controls in the context of the aftermath of the Asian and Russian financial crises? What were the alternative policy options? Was Chile in danger of suffering a crisis such as that of 1982?

  3. How should the relaxing of controls be sequenced with other policies? What can other countries learn from Chile's experiences?

Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s B Case Analysis

As far as the outcomes of the capital controls are concerned, the data shows that the controls did allow Chilean government to meet its listed objectives. In addition to the economic policies, the political decision making environment also contributed to the increased economic performance. The newly formed democratic government had a clear stance on decreasing inflation and on increasing the relative value of Peso.

2. What were the arguments for and against getting rid of the controls in the context of the aftermath of the Asian and Russian financial crises? What were the alternative policy options? Was Chile in danger of suffering a crisis such as that of 1982?

The Asian crises of 1997 and the Rubble crises of 1998 adversely affected the capital inflows and outflows to the emerging economies. The appreciation in the oil prices and the depreciation in the rubble was the main culprit behind the economic devaluation of cash flows. Hence, If Chile removed the capital controls; it could attract more foreign investors in a period when the emerging markets were experiencing a decrease in investment by other leading economies. It will allow Chile to consolidate and grow its economic stature. On the other hand, removal of the controls will skyrocket the inflation, interest rates and other indicators. Moreover, the ability of Chilean government to control its monetary policy will also be hampered. As a matter of fact, it is clear that Chile was at the brink of financial crises but that chances of this crises becoming stronger than that of 1982’s were minute.

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